iREIT Daily

Have We Finally Hit Peak Inflation?

Brad Thomas

467 postsApril 21, 2022

After two years in the turbulent COVID economy, we’ve seen all manner of fiscal absurdity, from labor shortages to lumber scarcities, business closures to banking volatility. Even after the dust settled from the prohibitions of the pandemic itself, our economy is still reeling from the effects of inflation brought on by the stimulus and spending stagnation early in the era of COVID.

While some blame the government, Russia, President Biden, or cost-push occurrences, the jury is still out on just what has kept our economy reeling from inflation. I’m not as concerned with the “why” in this case as I am with the “when.” As in, “When can I get a gallon of gas for under $4?” Or, “When can I buy groceries without going insane?”

Well, there may be some good news for all of us chasing the light at the end of this tumultuous tunnel.

Yesterday, Deutsche Bank Wealth Management CIO for the Americas Deepak Puri put forth a theory that prices are currently at their peak, and inflation will ease as the year moves forward.

From Yahoo! Finance:

I think the narrative seems to be that the March, April numbers that we’re going to see, especially on the CPI and PPI side, might be the high-water mark,” Puri told Yahoo Finance Live. “… There were some green shoots in the last CPI number. It was the slowest month-over-month over the last five months increase that we saw.

To back up this hunch, he cited the price decrease of some products, such as used cars, in the March inflation report released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Inflation hit another record high at 8.5% in March, a level we haven’t witnessed since 1981. Prices rose 1.2% in February following a 0.8% monthly rise during that month. Food, shelter, and oil were the highest contributors to the spike in prices.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) covering the month of April is scheduled for May 11, so we shall wait with bated breath as the era of inflation could soon be a thing of the past. Let’s hope so.

Other Non-REIT News to Know About

Tesla Annihilates Earning Estimates

Tesla’s record quarterly earnings report received wide praise from the Wall Street scene: The stock leapt more than 7% yesterday, with analysts announcing just a few concerns about the rally ahead for the automaker’s newest factory openings.

Elon’s EV venture reported killer first-quarter results that annihilated expectations, pushing towards $19 billion even after the factory fallout from China’s ongoing supply chain chaos.

Talk about a killer week from our South African super entrepreneur. And to top it all off, he even got to celebrate his favorite holiday on Wednesday. Kudos to you, Mr. Musk. All our best.

The World According to REITs

In chapter 5 of my book, The Intelligent REIT Investor Guide, I speak to the resilience of retail REITs. In an economy like ours, you can never bet against the strength of storefronts or the buoyancy of good old brick and mortar establishments.

Even after the chaos of COVID, our retail sector returned full speed, rallying in the face of shutdowns, mandates and more. Here, we’ll celebrate the strength of this sector with a quick look at a couple of killer retail REITs.

Simon Property Group (SPG)

Simon Property Group, Inc. invests in malls, outlets, and community centers. Headquartered in Indianapolis, it’s the largest owner of shopping malls in the U.S. Despite 2020’s chaotic climate for physical retail, shares of Simon Property Group actually jumped over 18% from last year. And given its vast portfolio of Class A properties, it’s a more solid bet for those looking to enter the retail space.

I mean, check out this recovery charted here:

It’s safe to say that in the world of retail REITs, SPG has real staying power despite the pandemic.

Realty Income Corporation (O)

This retail REIT develops most of its annualized retail revenues from tenants with a service, non-discretionary and/or a low price point component to their business. Such businesses are less open to economic downturns like inflation or competition from the internet. This increases the strength of rental revenues and produces predictable cash flows.

Not counting a merger with VEREIT, in 2021, Realty Income invested $6.41 billion in 911 established and developing properties, including $2.57 billion in Europe. Realty Income expects a full-year 2022 acquisition volume of more than $5.0 billion. The purchases of well-located commercial properties add to the company’s scale, offering a competitive edge to its net lease industry.

Happy Investing

Brad Thomas

467 posts

View all my Posts

Brad Thomas is Senior Research Analyst at iREIT and CEO of Wide Moat Research LLC. With over 30 years of real estate experience, he is also long-time Editor of Forbes Real Estate Investor, a monthly subscription-based newsletter that dives deep into the vast world of profitable properties, and since 2021, he has served as an adjunct professor at New York University.

Thomas has also been featured on or in Forbes magazine, Kiplinger's, U.S. News and World Report, Money, NPR, Institutional Investor, GlobeStreet, CNN, Newsmax, and Fox. And he was the #1 contributing analyst on Seeking Alpha in 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020 and 2021 based on both page views and number of followers.

Thomas is the recently-published author of The Intelligent REIT Investor Guide (2021), co-author of The Intelligent REIT Investor (2016), and he wrote The Trump Factor: Unlocking The Secrets Behind The Trump Empire (2016) - all available on Amazon.

Thomas received a bachelor of science in business/economics from Presbyterian College and is married with five wonderful kids.

Let’s Not Freak Out Over Last Friday

Global Finance Leaders Get Lost at G20

REIT Mutual Fund	Symbol
Alpine Realty Income and Growth Fund	AIGYX, AIAGX
American Century Real Estate Fund	REAIX, REACX, AREEX, AREWX, ARYCX, AREDX
Real Estate Securities Fund	MRESX
AR Capital Real Estate Income Fund	ARIAX, ARICX, ARIPX
AssetMark Real Estate Securities Fund	AFREX
Aston/Harrison Street Real Estate Fund	AARIX, ARFCX
Baron Real Estate Fund	BREIX, BREFX
BlackRock Real Estate Securities	BIREX, BAREX, BCREX
Brookfield U.S. Listed Real Estate Fund	BRUAX, BRUCX, BRUIX, BRUYX
CGM Realty Fund	CGMRX
West Loop Realty Fund	REIIX, REIAX, REICX
Cohen & Steers Institutional Realty Shares	CSRIX
Cohen & Steers Realty Income Fund	CSEIX, CSDIX, CSBIX, CSCIX
Cohen & Steers Realty Shares	CSRSX
Columbia Real Estate Equity Fund	CREAX, CREIX, CRRVX, CRERX, CREEX, CRRFX, CREWX, CRECX, CREBX
Compass EMP REC Enhanced Volatility Weighted Fund	CWRAX, CWRIX, CWRTX, CWRCX
Davis Real Estate Fund	RPFRX, DREYX, DRECX, DREBX
Delaware Real Estate Investment Trust Portfolio II	DPRTX, DPRBX
Delaware Real Estate Investment Trust Portfolio	DPREX, DPRSX, DPRRX, DPRCX
DFA Real Estate Securities Portfolio	DFREX
Dunham Real Estate Stock Fund	DAREX, DNREX, DCREX
DWS RREEF Real Estate Securities Fund	RRRRX, RRREX, RRRAX, RRRSX, RRRBX, RRRCX
DWS RREEF Real Estate Securities Income Fund	REFAX, REFCX, REFIX, REFSX
Eaton Vance Real Estate Fund	EAREX, EIREX
EII Realty Securities Fund	EIIRX
Fidelity Advisor Real Estate Fund	FHEIX, FHEAX, FHETX, FHECX, FHEBX
Fidelity Advisor Real Estate Income Fund	FRIRX, FRIQX, FRINX, FRIOX
Fidelity Real Estate Income Fund	FRIFX
Fidelity Real Estate Investment Portfolio	FRESX
Fidelity Spartan Real Estate Index Fund	FSRNX, FRXIX, FSRVX
Fidelity Series Real Estate Equity Fund	FREDX, FREFX
Fidelity Series Real Estate Income Fund	FSREX, FSRWX
Forward Real Estate Long/Short Fund	KSRYX, FRLSX, FFSRX, KSRAX, KSRCX, KSRBX
Forward Real Estate Fund	FPREX, FFREX, KREAX, KRECX
Forward Select Income Fund	KIFYX, FSIMX, FFSLX, KIFAX, KIFBX, KIFCX
Franklin Real Estate Securities Fund	FREEX, FRLAX, FRRSX, FSERX
GMO Real Estate Fund	GMORX
Goldman Sachs Real Estate Securities Fund	GREIX, GRETX, GREAX, GRESX, GRERX, GREBX, GRECX
Great-West Real Estate Fund	MXREX
Heitman REIT Fund	OARTX, OBRTX
ING Real Estate Fund	CRARX, IREWX, IDROX, CLARX, CRWRX, CRCRX, CRBCX
INVESCO Real Estate Fund	REINX, IARFX, IARIX, IARYX, IARAX, IARRX, IARCX, AARBX
Ivy Real Estate Securities Fund	IRSAX, IREIX, IRSYX, IRSRX, IREEX, IRSCX, IRSBX
John Hancock Real Estate Securities Fund	JIREX
Johnson Realty Fund	JRLTX
J.P.Morgan Realty Income Fund	URTLX, JRIRX, URTAX, URTBX, URTCX
J.P. Morgan Security Capital U.S. Core Real Estate Securities Fund	CEEAX, CEERX, CEEFX, CEESX, CEECX
J.P. Morgan U.S. Real Estate Fund	SUSIX
Lazard U.S. Realty Equity Portfolio	LREIX, LREOX
Lazard U.S. Realty Income Portfolio	LRIIX, LRIOX
Manning & Napier Real Estate Series	MNRIX, MNREX
Morgan Stanley Institutional U.S. Real Estate Portfolio	MSUSX, MUSDX, MSULX, MURSX
Natixis AEW Real Estate Fund	NRFAX, NRFYX, NRFBX, NRFCX, NRFNX
Neuberger Berman Real Estate Fund	NBRIX, NBRFX, NREAX, NRERX, NRECX, NRREX
Nuveen Real Estate Securities Fund	FREAX, FARCX, FRSSX, FREBX, FRLCX, FREGX
Oppenheimer Real Estate Fund	OREAX, OREIX, OREYX, ORENX, OREBX, ORECX
PHOCAS Real Estate Fund	PHREX
PIMCO RealEstateRealReturn Strategy Fund	PRRSX, PETPX, PETAX, PETDX, PETCX, PETBX
Pioneer Real Estate Shares	PWREX, PYREX, PCREX, PBREX
Principal Real Estate Securities Fund	PIREX, PIRPX, PREPX, PRETX, PREJX, PRRAX, PRERX, PRENX, PRAEX, PRCEX, PRLEX
ProFunds Real Estate UltraSector ProFund	REPIX
Prudential Select Real Estate Fund	SREAX
Prudential U.S. Real Estate Fund	PJEAX, PJEZX, PJECX, PJEBX
REMS Real Estate Income 50/50 Portfolio	RREIX
REMS Real Estate Value-Opportunity Fund	HLRRX, HLPPX
Rydex Real Estate Fund	RYREX, RYHRX, RYCRX
SA Real Estate Securities Fund	SAREX
SEI Institutional Mgd Real Estate Fund	SETAX, SEIRX
Spirit of America Real Estate Income & Growth Fund	SOAAX
SSgA Clarion Real Estate Fund	SSREX
Stratton Real Estate Fund	STMDX
T.Rowe Price Real Estate Fund	TRREX, PAREX
TIAA-CREF Real Estate Securities Fund	TIREX, TRRPX, TRRSX, TCREX
Vanguard REIT Index Fund	VGSNX, VGRSX, VGSLX, VGSIX
Virtus Real Estate Securities Fund	PHRAX, PHRIX, PHRCX, PHRBX

REIT Mutual Fund

Symbol

Alpine Realty Income and Growth Fund

AIGYX, AIAGX

American Century Real Estate Fund

REAIX, REACX, AREEX, AREWX, ARYCX, AREDX

Real Estate Securities Fund

MRESX

AR Capital Real Estate Income Fund

ARIAX, ARICX, ARIPX

AssetMark Real Estate Securities Fund

AFREX

Aston/Harrison Street Real Estate Fund

AARIX, ARFCX

Baron Real Estate Fund

BREIX, BREFX

BlackRock Real Estate Securities

BIREX, BAREX, BCREX

Brookfield U.S. Listed Real Estate Fund

BRUAX, BRUCX, BRUIX, BRUYX

CGM Realty Fund

CGMRX

West Loop Realty Fund

REIIX, REIAX, REICX

Cohen & Steers Institutional Realty Shares

CSRIX

Cohen & Steers Realty Income Fund

CSEIX, CSDIX, CSBIX, CSCIX

Cohen & Steers Realty Shares

CSRSX

Columbia Real Estate Equity Fund

CREAX, CREIX, CRRVX, CRERX, CREEX, CRRFX, CREWX, CRECX, CREBX

Compass EMP REC Enhanced Volatility Weighted Fund

CWRAX, CWRIX, CWRTX, CWRCX

Davis Real Estate Fund

RPFRX, DREYX, DRECX, DREBX

Delaware Real Estate Investment Trust Portfolio II

DPRTX, DPRBX

Delaware Real Estate Investment Trust Portfolio

DPREX, DPRSX, DPRRX, DPRCX

DFA Real Estate Securities Portfolio

DFREX

Dunham Real Estate Stock Fund

DAREX, DNREX, DCREX

DWS RREEF Real Estate Securities Fund

RRRRX, RRREX, RRRAX, RRRSX, RRRBX, RRRCX

DWS RREEF Real Estate Securities Income Fund

REFAX, REFCX, REFIX, REFSX

Eaton Vance Real Estate Fund

EAREX, EIREX

EII Realty Securities Fund

EIIRX

Fidelity Advisor Real Estate Fund

FHEIX, FHEAX, FHETX, FHECX, FHEBX

Fidelity Advisor Real Estate Income Fund

FRIRX, FRIQX, FRINX, FRIOX

Fidelity Real Estate Income Fund

FRIFX

Fidelity Real Estate Investment Portfolio

FRESX

Fidelity Spartan Real Estate Index Fund

FSRNX, FRXIX, FSRVX

Fidelity Series Real Estate Equity Fund

FREDX, FREFX

Fidelity Series Real Estate Income Fund

FSREX, FSRWX

Forward Real Estate Long/Short Fund

KSRYX, FRLSX, FFSRX, KSRAX, KSRCX, KSRBX

Forward Real Estate Fund

FPREX, FFREX, KREAX, KRECX

Forward Select Income Fund

KIFYX, FSIMX, FFSLX, KIFAX, KIFBX, KIFCX

Franklin Real Estate Securities Fund

FREEX, FRLAX, FRRSX, FSERX

GMO Real Estate Fund

GMORX

Goldman Sachs Real Estate Securities Fund

GREIX, GRETX, GREAX, GRESX, GRERX, GREBX, GRECX

Great-West Real Estate Fund

MXREX

Heitman REIT Fund

OARTX, OBRTX

ING Real Estate Fund

CRARX, IREWX, IDROX, CLARX, CRWRX, CRCRX, CRBCX

INVESCO Real Estate Fund

REINX, IARFX, IARIX, IARYX, IARAX, IARRX, IARCX, AARBX

Ivy Real Estate Securities Fund

IRSAX, IREIX, IRSYX, IRSRX, IREEX, IRSCX, IRSBX

John Hancock Real Estate Securities Fund

JIREX

Johnson Realty Fund

JRLTX

J.P.Morgan Realty Income Fund

URTLX, JRIRX, URTAX, URTBX, URTCX

J.P. Morgan Security Capital U.S. Core Real Estate Securities Fund

CEEAX, CEERX, CEEFX, CEESX, CEECX

J.P. Morgan U.S. Real Estate Fund

SUSIX

Lazard U.S. Realty Equity Portfolio

LREIX, LREOX

Lazard U.S. Realty Income Portfolio

LRIIX, LRIOX

Manning & Napier Real Estate Series

MNRIX, MNREX

Morgan Stanley Institutional U.S. Real Estate Portfolio

MSUSX, MUSDX, MSULX, MURSX

Natixis AEW Real Estate Fund

NRFAX, NRFYX, NRFBX, NRFCX, NRFNX

Neuberger Berman Real Estate Fund

NBRIX, NBRFX, NREAX, NRERX, NRECX, NRREX

Nuveen Real Estate Securities Fund

FREAX, FARCX, FRSSX, FREBX, FRLCX, FREGX

Oppenheimer Real Estate Fund

OREAX, OREIX, OREYX, ORENX, OREBX, ORECX

PHOCAS Real Estate Fund

PHREX

PIMCO RealEstateRealReturn Strategy Fund

PRRSX, PETPX, PETAX, PETDX, PETCX, PETBX

Pioneer Real Estate Shares

PWREX, PYREX, PCREX, PBREX

Principal Real Estate Securities Fund

PIREX, PIRPX, PREPX, PRETX, PREJX, PRRAX, PRERX, PRENX, PRAEX, PRCEX, PRLEX

ProFunds Real Estate UltraSector ProFund

REPIX

Prudential Select Real Estate Fund

SREAX

Prudential U.S. Real Estate Fund

PJEAX, PJEZX, PJECX, PJEBX

REMS Real Estate Income 50/50 Portfolio

RREIX

REMS Real Estate Value-Opportunity Fund

HLRRX, HLPPX

Rydex Real Estate Fund

RYREX, RYHRX, RYCRX

SA Real Estate Securities Fund

SAREX

SEI Institutional Mgd Real Estate Fund

SETAX, SEIRX

Spirit of America Real Estate Income & Growth Fund

SOAAX

SSgA Clarion Real Estate Fund

SSREX

Stratton Real Estate Fund

STMDX

T.Rowe Price Real Estate Fund

TRREX, PAREX

TIAA-CREF Real Estate Securities Fund

TIREX, TRRPX, TRRSX, TCREX

Vanguard REIT Index Fund

VGSNX, VGRSX, VGSLX, VGSIX

Virtus Real Estate Securities Fund

PHRAX, PHRIX, PHRCX, PHRBX

REIT ETF	Symbol
Flex Shares	ASET
Wisdom Tree Global Ex-US	DRW
S&P 500 Equal Weight	EWRE
iShares FTSE Industrial/Office	FNIO
MSCI Real Estate Index	FREL
S&P REIT Index	FRI
First Trust S&P REIT	FRI
iShares Real Estate 50	FTY
Flexshares Global	GQRE
iShares Cohen & Streers	ICF
iShares International Developed RE	IFGL
iShares US RE	IYR
Premium Yield Equity REIT	KBWY
ETRACS Monthly Pay 2x Leverage	MORL
Market Vector Mortgage	MORT
iShares Global REIT	REET
iShares FTSE Mortgage	REM
iShares Residential	REZ
IQ US Real Estate Small Cap	ROOF
iShares FTSE NAREIT Retail	RTL
DOW Jones Global RE	RWO
SPDR Dow Jones	RWR
Schwab US REIT	SCHH
Super Dividend REIT	SRET
ProShares Ultra RE	URE
Vanguard REIT	VNQ
Vanguard Global ex-US	VNQI
iShares International Developed	WPS
Wilshire US REIT	WREI
Pacer Benchmark Data & Infrastructure RE	SRVR
Pacer Benchmark Industrial RE	INDS
Pacer Benchmark Retail RE	RTL
Hoya Capital Housing	HOMZ
NetLease Corporate RE	NETL

REIT ETF

Symbol

Flex Shares

ASET

Wisdom Tree Global Ex-US

DRW

S&P 500 Equal Weight

EWRE

iShares FTSE Industrial/Office

FNIO

MSCI Real Estate Index

FREL

S&P REIT Index

FRI

First Trust S&P REIT

FRI

iShares Real Estate 50

FTY

Flexshares Global

GQRE

iShares Cohen & Streers

ICF

iShares International Developed RE

IFGL

iShares US RE

IYR

Premium Yield Equity REIT

KBWY

ETRACS Monthly Pay 2x Leverage

MORL

Market Vector Mortgage

MORT

iShares Global REIT

REET

iShares FTSE Mortgage

REM

iShares Residential

REZ

IQ US Real Estate Small Cap

ROOF

iShares FTSE NAREIT Retail

RTL

DOW Jones Global RE

RWO

SPDR Dow Jones

RWR

Schwab US REIT

SCHH

Super Dividend REIT

SRET

ProShares Ultra RE

URE

Vanguard REIT

VNQ

Vanguard Global ex-US

VNQI

iShares International Developed

WPS

Wilshire US REIT

WREI

Pacer Benchmark Data & Infrastructure RE

SRVR

Pacer Benchmark Industrial RE

INDS

Pacer Benchmark Retail RE

RTL

Hoya Capital Housing

HOMZ

NetLease Corporate RE

NETL

REIT Name	Ticker	Annual Increases/yr
Federal Realty	FRT	51
Universal Health Realty	UHT	33
National Retail Properties	NNN	29
Realty Income	O	27
Tanger Outlets	SKT	26
Urstadt Biddle	UBA	25
Essex Property Trust	ESS	25
W.P.Carey	WPC	22
National Health Investors	NHI	17
Equity Lifestyle	ELS	15
Digital Realty	DLR	15

Have We Finally Hit Peak Inflation?

Brad Thomas

467 postsApril 21, 2022

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Have We Finally Hit Peak Inflation?

467 postsApril 21, 2022

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