It’s Official, Tanger Survived the Pandemic

Brad Thomas

467 postsFebruary 18, 2021

Quote for Today:

“The value proposition for outlets is on firm footing, as retailers continue to utilize the cheapest brick-and-mortar alternative as a necessary part of the omni-channel experience.”
– Brad Thomas

(Source)

This is information I’d normally share in the “World According to Commercial Real Estate” section. But considering how associated with Tanger Factory Outlet Centers (SKT) I’ve become in the public eye, let’s just rip off the Band-Aid and address it right here.

Back when the whole GameStop saga was still splashed all over the news, Tanger found its stock price up intensely more than once. Yet despite my continuing long-term bullish stance on it, I cautioned everyone that the euphoria was a temporary phase…

That as soon as earnings came out to show the extent of the damage, that love affair would falter or flee entirely.

Well, I was partially right and partially wrong in that. On the plus-side for the Thomas prediction score, the stock didn’t keep climbing toward $20 per share. Instead, it crashed back down to a low below $13.

I’m not unhappy how it’s been trending upward since then though to above $14. That’s wonderful, and I believe that progress will continue at a reasonable pace from here.

That’s why I continue to faithfully hold onto my shares.

With that said, last year’s numbers are now out. And some of them aren’t pretty.

I can’t take credit for predicting that bit. Even if I didn’t follow Tanger closely, I would have known. Everyone did.

Here are the exact figures reported yesterday:

Q4 net income was $0.03 million, or zip, zilch, nada per share. That was still better than last year’s final-quarter net loss of $12.1 million, or $0.13 per share – and the main reason for that “improvement” was because of a one-time non-cash impairment charge of $37.6 million connected to one particular property (which it sold last month).
Q4-20 funds from operations were $52.7 million, or $0.54 per share; down from $57.5 million, or $0.59 per share in Q4-19.
Core FFO was $52.3 million, or $0.54 per share, compared to Q4-19’s $57.5 million or $0.59 per share.

Meanwhile, Tanger recorded a full-year $37 million net loss ($0.04 per share), which was a definite downturn from its $86.5 million net gain ($0.93 per share) in 2019. And core FFO was down to $1.57 per share from $2.31.

Ouch!

Yet there was good news too. CEO Stephen Yalof wasn’t just being optimistic when he said:

“Our business continues to improve, with the consumer embracing open-air outlet centers as a preferred venue for shopping and entertainment. Traffic was approximately 90% of prior-year levels during the fourth quarter and in January, improved to more than 99% for domestic centers. Outlets are an important component of the omnichannel retail strategy, given the low-cost structure and access to incremental consumer that is both value-oriented and aspirational.
“Rent collections for the quarter improved to 95% of billed rents as of the end of January. As of that date, we had already collected 57% of 2020 rents that we allowed our tenants to defer until this year, nearly half of which represented prepayments. We collected 90% of deferred rents due in January. Our liquidity position is strong, with $84 million of cash and $600 million in unsecured lines of credit that were undrawn at the end of January.”

Say what you will but about Tanger, but I maintain it’s a survivor.

The World According to Commercial Real Estate

Now for the rest of the REIT news, as powered by the Daily REITBeat…

Fitch Ratings downgraded Washington Prime Group’s (WPG) long-term issuer default ratings from CC to C, its senior secured revolver and term loans from CCC to CCC-, and its senior unsecured notes from CC to C, all with a negative outlook.
Hersha Hospitality Trust (HT) secured a strategic financing commitment from West Street Strategic Solutions Fund I and Broad Street Credit Holdings, both affiliated with Goldman Sachs’ (GS) Merchant Banking business. The financial institutions will provide an initial $150 million draw at closing and an incremental $50 million delayed amount that can be drawn at Hersha’s choosing in minimum $25 million installments from September 30, onward.
Ryman Hospitality Properties (RHP) announced that RHP Hotel Properties LP and RHP Finance Corporation, finished their previously announced private placement of a $600 million aggregate principal amount of 4.500% senior notes that are due 2029.

Oh, and yesterday’s upside action was much more measured yesterday – which isn’t necessarily a bad thing. Slow and steady does, after all, tend to win the stock market race.

The downside action, however, continues to be more intense.

(Source: The Daily REITBeat)

Happy Investing

Brad Thomas

467 posts

View all my Posts

Brad Thomas is Senior Research Analyst at iREIT and CEO of Wide Moat Research LLC. With over 30 years of real estate experience, he is also long-time Editor of Forbes Real Estate Investor, a monthly subscription-based newsletter that dives deep into the vast world of profitable properties, and since 2021, he has served as an adjunct professor at New York University.

Thomas has also been featured on or in Forbes magazine, Kiplinger's, U.S. News and World Report, Money, NPR, Institutional Investor, GlobeStreet, CNN, Newsmax, and Fox. And he was the #1 contributing analyst on Seeking Alpha in 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020 and 2021 based on both page views and number of followers.

Thomas is the recently-published author of The Intelligent REIT Investor Guide (2021), co-author of The Intelligent REIT Investor (2016), and he wrote The Trump Factor: Unlocking The Secrets Behind The Trump Empire (2016) - all available on Amazon.

Thomas received a bachelor of science in business/economics from Presbyterian College and is married with five wonderful kids.

This Isn’t a Sign of the Office Building Apocalypse

REIT Mutual Fund	Symbol
Alpine Realty Income and Growth Fund	AIGYX, AIAGX
American Century Real Estate Fund	REAIX, REACX, AREEX, AREWX, ARYCX, AREDX
Real Estate Securities Fund	MRESX
AR Capital Real Estate Income Fund	ARIAX, ARICX, ARIPX
AssetMark Real Estate Securities Fund	AFREX
Aston/Harrison Street Real Estate Fund	AARIX, ARFCX
Baron Real Estate Fund	BREIX, BREFX
BlackRock Real Estate Securities	BIREX, BAREX, BCREX
Brookfield U.S. Listed Real Estate Fund	BRUAX, BRUCX, BRUIX, BRUYX
CGM Realty Fund	CGMRX
West Loop Realty Fund	REIIX, REIAX, REICX
Cohen & Steers Institutional Realty Shares	CSRIX
Cohen & Steers Realty Income Fund	CSEIX, CSDIX, CSBIX, CSCIX
Cohen & Steers Realty Shares	CSRSX
Columbia Real Estate Equity Fund	CREAX, CREIX, CRRVX, CRERX, CREEX, CRRFX, CREWX, CRECX, CREBX
Compass EMP REC Enhanced Volatility Weighted Fund	CWRAX, CWRIX, CWRTX, CWRCX
Davis Real Estate Fund	RPFRX, DREYX, DRECX, DREBX
Delaware Real Estate Investment Trust Portfolio II	DPRTX, DPRBX
Delaware Real Estate Investment Trust Portfolio	DPREX, DPRSX, DPRRX, DPRCX
DFA Real Estate Securities Portfolio	DFREX
Dunham Real Estate Stock Fund	DAREX, DNREX, DCREX
DWS RREEF Real Estate Securities Fund	RRRRX, RRREX, RRRAX, RRRSX, RRRBX, RRRCX
DWS RREEF Real Estate Securities Income Fund	REFAX, REFCX, REFIX, REFSX
Eaton Vance Real Estate Fund	EAREX, EIREX
EII Realty Securities Fund	EIIRX
Fidelity Advisor Real Estate Fund	FHEIX, FHEAX, FHETX, FHECX, FHEBX
Fidelity Advisor Real Estate Income Fund	FRIRX, FRIQX, FRINX, FRIOX
Fidelity Real Estate Income Fund	FRIFX
Fidelity Real Estate Investment Portfolio	FRESX
Fidelity Spartan Real Estate Index Fund	FSRNX, FRXIX, FSRVX
Fidelity Series Real Estate Equity Fund	FREDX, FREFX
Fidelity Series Real Estate Income Fund	FSREX, FSRWX
Forward Real Estate Long/Short Fund	KSRYX, FRLSX, FFSRX, KSRAX, KSRCX, KSRBX
Forward Real Estate Fund	FPREX, FFREX, KREAX, KRECX
Forward Select Income Fund	KIFYX, FSIMX, FFSLX, KIFAX, KIFBX, KIFCX
Franklin Real Estate Securities Fund	FREEX, FRLAX, FRRSX, FSERX
GMO Real Estate Fund	GMORX
Goldman Sachs Real Estate Securities Fund	GREIX, GRETX, GREAX, GRESX, GRERX, GREBX, GRECX
Great-West Real Estate Fund	MXREX
Heitman REIT Fund	OARTX, OBRTX
ING Real Estate Fund	CRARX, IREWX, IDROX, CLARX, CRWRX, CRCRX, CRBCX
INVESCO Real Estate Fund	REINX, IARFX, IARIX, IARYX, IARAX, IARRX, IARCX, AARBX
Ivy Real Estate Securities Fund	IRSAX, IREIX, IRSYX, IRSRX, IREEX, IRSCX, IRSBX
John Hancock Real Estate Securities Fund	JIREX
Johnson Realty Fund	JRLTX
J.P.Morgan Realty Income Fund	URTLX, JRIRX, URTAX, URTBX, URTCX
J.P. Morgan Security Capital U.S. Core Real Estate Securities Fund	CEEAX, CEERX, CEEFX, CEESX, CEECX
J.P. Morgan U.S. Real Estate Fund	SUSIX
Lazard U.S. Realty Equity Portfolio	LREIX, LREOX
Lazard U.S. Realty Income Portfolio	LRIIX, LRIOX
Manning & Napier Real Estate Series	MNRIX, MNREX
Morgan Stanley Institutional U.S. Real Estate Portfolio	MSUSX, MUSDX, MSULX, MURSX
Natixis AEW Real Estate Fund	NRFAX, NRFYX, NRFBX, NRFCX, NRFNX
Neuberger Berman Real Estate Fund	NBRIX, NBRFX, NREAX, NRERX, NRECX, NRREX
Nuveen Real Estate Securities Fund	FREAX, FARCX, FRSSX, FREBX, FRLCX, FREGX
Oppenheimer Real Estate Fund	OREAX, OREIX, OREYX, ORENX, OREBX, ORECX
PHOCAS Real Estate Fund	PHREX
PIMCO RealEstateRealReturn Strategy Fund	PRRSX, PETPX, PETAX, PETDX, PETCX, PETBX
Pioneer Real Estate Shares	PWREX, PYREX, PCREX, PBREX
Principal Real Estate Securities Fund	PIREX, PIRPX, PREPX, PRETX, PREJX, PRRAX, PRERX, PRENX, PRAEX, PRCEX, PRLEX
ProFunds Real Estate UltraSector ProFund	REPIX
Prudential Select Real Estate Fund	SREAX
Prudential U.S. Real Estate Fund	PJEAX, PJEZX, PJECX, PJEBX
REMS Real Estate Income 50/50 Portfolio	RREIX
REMS Real Estate Value-Opportunity Fund	HLRRX, HLPPX
Rydex Real Estate Fund	RYREX, RYHRX, RYCRX
SA Real Estate Securities Fund	SAREX
SEI Institutional Mgd Real Estate Fund	SETAX, SEIRX
Spirit of America Real Estate Income & Growth Fund	SOAAX
SSgA Clarion Real Estate Fund	SSREX
Stratton Real Estate Fund	STMDX
T.Rowe Price Real Estate Fund	TRREX, PAREX
TIAA-CREF Real Estate Securities Fund	TIREX, TRRPX, TRRSX, TCREX
Vanguard REIT Index Fund	VGSNX, VGRSX, VGSLX, VGSIX
Virtus Real Estate Securities Fund	PHRAX, PHRIX, PHRCX, PHRBX

REIT ETF	Symbol
Flex Shares	ASET
Wisdom Tree Global Ex-US	DRW
S&P 500 Equal Weight	EWRE
iShares FTSE Industrial/Office	FNIO
MSCI Real Estate Index	FREL
S&P REIT Index	FRI
First Trust S&P REIT	FRI
iShares Real Estate 50	FTY
Flexshares Global	GQRE
iShares Cohen & Streers	ICF
iShares International Developed RE	IFGL
iShares US RE	IYR
Premium Yield Equity REIT	KBWY
ETRACS Monthly Pay 2x Leverage	MORL
Market Vector Mortgage	MORT
iShares Global REIT	REET
iShares FTSE Mortgage	REM
iShares Residential	REZ
IQ US Real Estate Small Cap	ROOF
iShares FTSE NAREIT Retail	RTL
DOW Jones Global RE	RWO
SPDR Dow Jones	RWR
Schwab US REIT	SCHH
Super Dividend REIT	SRET
ProShares Ultra RE	URE
Vanguard REIT	VNQ
Vanguard Global ex-US	VNQI
iShares International Developed	WPS
Wilshire US REIT	WREI
Pacer Benchmark Data & Infrastructure RE	SRVR
Pacer Benchmark Industrial RE	INDS
Pacer Benchmark Retail RE	RTL
Hoya Capital Housing	HOMZ
NetLease Corporate RE	NETL

REIT Name	Ticker	Annual Increases/yr
Federal Realty	FRT	51
Universal Health Realty	UHT	33
National Retail Properties	NNN	29
Realty Income	O	27
Tanger Outlets	SKT	26
Urstadt Biddle	UBA	25
Essex Property Trust	ESS	25
W.P.Carey	WPC	22
National Health Investors	NHI	17
Equity Lifestyle	ELS	15
Digital Realty	DLR	15

It’s Official, Tanger Survived the Pandemic

Brad Thomas

467 postsFebruary 18, 2021

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It’s Official, Tanger Survived the Pandemic

467 postsFebruary 18, 2021

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